1 year
Risk level (probability)
Low (<5%)
Moderate (5–15%)
High (15–30%)
Critical (>30%)
Highest risk region
Probability
Regions monitored
15
Historical data span
124 yrs
Probabilistic forecasting — not prediction. Zones show the statistical likelihood of earthquakes exceeding the selected magnitude within the forecast window, calculated from historical recurrence rates using P = 1 − e−λt. Does not predict timing, exact location, or individual events. Official hazard maps: USGS Seismic Hazard Maps.